The Paddock brothers in Famine 1975 did hold some credence when their book was first published:
- simply because, for two years in a row during the mid-1960s, the monsoon failed on the Indian Subcontinent.
As a result, the world's food production decreased (remembering that India, as well as being a very populous country, is also the location of some of the world's richest agricultural land).
The predicted disaster, of course, did not happen:
- for one thing, the monsoon resumed its normal pattern from 1967 onward (who says climate change is a new phenomena!)
- and most importantly came what was termed the "Green Revolution", in which Asia's food production was significantly increased by the introduction of high yielding strains of wheat and rice.
Ever the experts in depressing people, the WTS sought to downplay the achievements of the Green Revolution.
A 1972 article in Awake made it sound like the Green Revolution had delayed famine for, at best, only a year or two - and that the Paddock brothers predictions were largely still valid.
(From memory, that Awake article listed over half a dozen reasons why the Green Revolution was going to fall flat at any moment!).
Further on the matter of food shortages, I can recall another Awake article on hunger during those years (sometime in 1969).
This article contained a map of the world, showing which countries received adequate nutrition, and which countries did not:
- the criterion being 2400 calories per day, which is considered the minimum necessary daily intake of food for an adult human being.
According to that article, only the peoples of Northern Europe, North America, Argentina, Australia and New Zealand were receiving an adequate daily intake of food.
Since that time, the situation has much improved;
- by the first decade of the 21st Century, the area of the world in which the population receives less than 2400 calories per day had been reduced to parts of sub-Saharan Africa, some of the smaller South American countries, and certain Pacific Islands.
Interestingly, in the late 1960s, the south of Italy, Sicily and Greece were included in the area affected by lack of adequate nutrition. Today, those countries have some of the highest per capita calorie consumptions in the world.
Despite the calamity howling by the Paddocks, the Erlichs and the WTS, something has worked right!.
Bill.